09:54 2007/05/09
Fed Meeting Preview
US Government is still worried about inflation, but it's not probable that a rate hike is given on the 9th May's Meeting. The last hike was seen on June '06 when they hiked to the actual 5.25%.
Economic growth has slowed down noticeably in the past months but it is not strong enough yet to put pressure on the Fed to cut rates. Check the effect that the result of the meeting will have over the pairs in our Rates and Charts Section or compare the movements of the different banks in our World Interest Rates Table. You can also tell us what do you think the Fed will do on our Forum Poll: The Central Banks Week. In-Depth AnalysisRelated News Analysts' comments- Lee More, VP at ForexYard:
"If the Fed continues to talk about the weakness of the economy, rather than the risk on the inflation side, and will come with more cautious towards the economy, that act will be seen as more dovish and then the dollar will likely weaken. The Fed's tone will have to be very dovish to stop, what may turn out to be, the beginning of the long overdue dollar reversal. As such, we may very well see the dollar touching the 1.33 level against the EUR in the near future." - ForexYard
- Korman Tam, currency strategist at Forexnews.com:
"The FOMC will announce the results of its policy-setting meeting at 2:15 PM New York time. The overwhelming consensus view, including our own, is for the Fed to stand pat at 5.25% and issue a statement largely in line with the March policy statement. The recent slate of economic data since the previous meeting has been mixed, as GDP, manufacturing, housing and jobs have slowed while inflation continues to hover near its highs ??“ warranting the Fed to maintain its neutral stance with caution towards risks to inflation." - Forexnews.com
- Hans Nilsson, FX strategist at CMS Forex:
"Trading mixed on Tuesday, the dollar was lower against the yen but higher against the euro ahead of three central bank meetings. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate at 5.25% after its meeting on Wednesday. Investors are waiting to see if the Fed will change the outlook for the US economy and threat of inflation. We do not expect any big changes in the Fed statement." - CMS Forex
- David Brown, chief european economist at Bear Stearns:
"The key for markets should be the tenor of the accompanying statement and whether the Fed keeps its tightening bias intact -- especially in the wake of the softer than expected April payrolls and March PCE core deflator." - AFX News
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