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08:30 2007/11/07
EURUSD On Pace Towards 1.50?
Dollar weakness was further propelled as Chinese official said the government would favor stronger currencies in its future diversification of $1.43T of FX reserves.
Overnight News Bullets E-Z PPI MoM/YoY (Sep), out at 0.4%/2.7% vs. 0.3%/2.6% exp. 0.1%/1.7% prior. E-Z Retail Sales MoM/YoY (Sep), out at 0.3%/1.6% vs. 0.6%/2.2% exp. 0.1%/1.0% prior. GE Factory Orders MoM/YoY (Sep), out at -2.5%/1.1% vs. -0.3%/6.2% exp. 1.2%/4.0% prior. CA Building Permits MoM (Sep), out at -1.7% vs. 1.8% exp. 1.4% prior. CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Oct), out at 57.1 vs. 55.0 exp. 56.0 prior. US ABC Consumer Confidence (Nov 4), out at -15 vs. -14 exp. -15 prior. AU RBA Cash Target (Nov) 25 Bps Hike from 6.50% to 6.75% as expected. AU AiG Perf of Construction Index (Oct), out at 57.4 vs. 55.2 prior. JN Official Reserve Assets (Oct), out at $954.5B vs. $945.6B prior. AU Home Loans (Sep), out at -2.4% vs. 0.1% exp. 1.6% prior. AU Investment Lending (Sep), out at -3.3% vs. -4.5% prior. AU House Price Index QoQ/YoY (3Q), out at 3.5%/10.6% vs. 3.0%/9.8% exp. 3.2%/9.2% prior. AU Foreign Reserves (Oct) out at A$36.0B vs. A$52.7B prior.
Markets FX: Dollar weakness continues with EURUSD now over 1.46 and USDCAD pushing for 0.90. Fixed Income: US Treasuries higher. JGBs advanced further on local equity losses. European bonds little changed. Stocks: Both American and Asian stocks rally with rising commodity prices. S&P500 up 1.2%, Dow Jones up 0.87%. Nikkei slightly lower. Commodities: Oil and commodities continue to surge, with spot gold briefly over $836 an ounce, silver spot prices touching a high of $15.9050. December crude trading around $98 a barrel.
O/N Data Heat map:
Calendar Today's Highlights: | NO | Industrial Production MoM/YoY (SEP) | Prior -0.1%/-0.6% | | NO | Industrial Production Manufacturing MoM/YoY (SEP) | 0.3%/4.6% | | UK | BRC October Shop Price Index | | | GE | Industrial Production MoM/YoY (SEP) | -0.5%/5.1% | | US | MBA Mortgage Applications (NOV) | 3.8% | | US | Nonfarm Productivity (3Q) | 3.2% | | US | Unit Labor Costs (3Q) | 1.0% | | US | Wholesale Inventories (SEP) | 0.2% | | US | DOE US Crude Oil Inventories (NOV) | -1500K | | US | FED???‚¬?„?s Warsh speaks on Financial Markets in New York | | | US | Consumer Credit (SEP) | $9.0B | | NZ | Unemployment Rate (3Q) | 3.6% | | NZ | Employment Change QoQ/YoY (3Q) | 0.4%/2.3% |
This and Next Week???‚¬?„?s Highlights: | AU | Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Participation Rate | | JN | Machine Tool Orders, Eco Watchers Survey: Current/Outlook | | SZ | Unemployment Rate | | GE | Trade Balance, Current Account, Imports, Exports | | SW | Industrial Production, Industrial Orders, Activity Index Level | | UK | BoE announces interest rates, Leading Indicator Index, Coincident Indicator Index | | EC | ECB announces interest rates | | CA | Housing Starts, New Housing Price Index | | US | Initial jobless claims, Continuing Claims, FED???‚¬?„?s Bernanke Testifies Before Joint Economic Committee on US Economic Outlook, EIA Natural Gas Storage Change, UCSC Chain Store Sales | | JN | Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization | | SZ | SECO Consumer Climate | | GE | Wholesale Price Index | | SW | AMS Unemployment Rate | | NO | Producer Prices Incl. Oil, A string of CPI???‚¬?„?s | | UK | Visible Trade Balance, Total Trade Balance | | EC | Euro-Zone Leading Indicator | | US | Trade Balance, Import Price Index, University of Michigan Confidence, Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count | | CA | International Merchandise Trade |
What's going on? Dollar weakness was further propelled as Chinese official said the government would favor stronger currencies in its future diversification of $1.43T of FX reserves. Rally in crude oil prices gained further momentum with dollar tumbling and a storm in the North Sea disrupting output. December contract has touched a high of $98.03 barrel on Wednesday morning trading. Concerns of accelerating inflation pushed the gold to 27-yr high with spot prices now pushing towards $840 an ounce. Boosted by high oil and commodities prices, Asian stocks continued yesterday???‚¬?„?s rally. Miners and energy companied led the gains. US stocks rose the most in 4-days similarly helped by energy prices. S&P 500 Energy Index climbed nearly 3%, representing steepest gain among 10 industries.
FX

FX Trading Strategies | 166.5 | 167.72 | We have a signal to go long at 167.635, thus we place an order to buy the break of 167.64 bid, stop offer at 167.42. Target is set above the 168 figure. Watch for possible resistance at the October highs at 167.72 |
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