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08:30 2007/11/07

NEWS / Foreign Exchange

EURUSD On Pace Towards 1.50?

Dollar weakness was further propelled as Chinese official said the government would favor stronger currencies in its future diversification of $1.43T of FX reserves.

Overnight News Bullets

  • E-Z PPI MoM/YoY (Sep), out at 0.4%/2.7% vs. 0.3%/2.6% exp. 0.1%/1.7% prior.

  • E-Z Retail Sales MoM/YoY (Sep), out at 0.3%/1.6% vs. 0.6%/2.2% exp. 0.1%/1.0% prior.

  • GE Factory Orders MoM/YoY (Sep), out at -2.5%/1.1% vs. -0.3%/6.2% exp. 1.2%/4.0% prior.

  • CA Building Permits MoM (Sep), out at -1.7% vs. 1.8% exp. 1.4% prior.

  • CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Oct), out at 57.1 vs. 55.0 exp. 56.0 prior.

  • US ABC Consumer Confidence (Nov 4), out at -15 vs. -14 exp. -15 prior.

  • AU RBA Cash Target (Nov) 25 Bps Hike from 6.50% to 6.75% as expected.

  • AU AiG Perf of Construction Index (Oct), out at 57.4 vs. 55.2 prior.

  • JN Official Reserve Assets (Oct), out at $954.5B vs. $945.6B prior.

  • AU Home Loans (Sep), out at -2.4% vs. 0.1% exp. 1.6% prior.

  • AU Investment Lending (Sep), out at -3.3% vs. -4.5% prior.

  • AU House Price Index QoQ/YoY (3Q), out at 3.5%/10.6% vs. 3.0%/9.8% exp. 3.2%/9.2% prior.

  • AU Foreign Reserves (Oct) out at A$36.0B vs. A$52.7B prior.


Markets

  • FX: Dollar weakness continues with EURUSD now over 1.46 and USDCAD pushing for 0.90.

  • Fixed Income: US Treasuries higher. JGBs advanced further on local equity losses. European bonds little changed.

  • Stocks: Both American and Asian stocks rally with rising commodity prices. S&P500 up 1.2%, Dow Jones up 0.87%. Nikkei slightly lower.

  • Commodities: Oil and commodities continue to surge, with spot gold briefly over $836 an ounce, silver spot prices touching a high of $15.9050. December crude trading around $98 a barrel.


O/N Data Heat map:

Data heat map


Calendar

Today's Highlights:

Time (GMT) Region Release Consensus
09:00NO Industrial Production MoM/YoY (SEP) Prior -0.1%/-0.6%
09:00NO Industrial Production Manufacturing MoM/YoY (SEP) 0.3%/4.6%
10:30UK BRC October Shop Price Index
11:00GE Industrial Production MoM/YoY (SEP) -0.5%/5.1%
12:00US MBA Mortgage Applications (NOV) 3.8%
13:30US Nonfarm Productivity (3Q) 3.2%
13:30US Unit Labor Costs (3Q) 1.0%
15:00US Wholesale Inventories (SEP) 0.2%
15:30US DOE US Crude Oil Inventories (NOV) -1500K
18:00US FED???‚¬?„?s Warsh speaks on Financial Markets in New York
20:00US Consumer Credit (SEP) $9.0B
21:45NZ Unemployment Rate (3Q) 3.6%
21:45NZ Employment Change QoQ/YoY (3Q) 0.4%/2.3%


This and Next Week???‚¬?„?s Highlights:

Date Region Release
08-NovAU Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Participation Rate
08-NovJN Machine Tool Orders, Eco Watchers Survey: Current/Outlook
08-NovSZ Unemployment Rate
08-NovGE Trade Balance, Current Account, Imports, Exports
08-NovSW Industrial Production, Industrial Orders, Activity Index Level
08-NovUK BoE announces interest rates, Leading Indicator Index, Coincident Indicator Index
08-NovEC ECB announces interest rates
08-NovCA Housing Starts, New Housing Price Index
08-NovUS Initial jobless claims, Continuing Claims, FED???‚¬?„?s Bernanke Testifies Before Joint Economic Committee on US Economic Outlook, EIA Natural Gas Storage Change, UCSC Chain Store Sales
09-NovJN Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization
09-NovSZ SECO Consumer Climate
09-NovGE Wholesale Price Index
09-NovSW AMS Unemployment Rate
09-NovNO Producer Prices Incl. Oil, A string of CPI???‚¬?„?s
09-NovUK Visible Trade Balance, Total Trade Balance
09-NovEC Euro-Zone Leading Indicator
09-NovUS Trade Balance, Import Price Index, University of Michigan Confidence, Baker Hughes U.S. Rig Count
09-NovCA International Merchandise Trade


What's going on?

  • Dollar weakness was further propelled as Chinese official said the government would favor stronger currencies in its future diversification of $1.43T of FX reserves.

  • Rally in crude oil prices gained further momentum with dollar tumbling and a storm in the North Sea disrupting output. December contract has touched a high of $98.03 barrel on Wednesday morning trading.

  • Concerns of accelerating inflation pushed the gold to 27-yr high with spot prices now pushing towards $840 an ounce.

  • Boosted by high oil and commodities prices, Asian stocks continued yesterday???‚¬?„?s rally. Miners and energy companied led the gains.

  • US stocks rose the most in 4-days similarly helped by energy prices. S&P 500 Energy Index climbed nearly 3%, representing steepest gain among 10 industries.


FX

fx graph

Fx trading strategies

FX Trading Strategies

Pair Supp. Resis. Comments
EURJPY 166.5167.72We have a signal to go long at 167.635, thus we place an order to buy the break of 167.64 bid, stop offer at 167.42. Target is set above the 168 figure. Watch for possible resistance at the October highs at 167.72

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Prev All News Category News Next

2007/11/06

08:22 2007/11/06 US: Non-manufacturing confidence holds up well in October

08:18 2007/11/06 A Slow Start To The Week Highlighted Once Again By Credit Concerns

08:16 2007/11/06 Sterling scared off by bad data

07:42 2007/11/06 The US economic calendar will begin on Monday with the release of the US ISM non-manufacturing report for October

2007/11/05

07:37 2007/11/05 US: Payrolls strong and above recent trend

07:32 2007/11/05 Risk aversion may help yen rebound

2007/11/02

08:30 2007/11/02 Market Drum Highlights

07:37 2007/11/02 Australian Dollar Finds Support on Rate Outlook

2007/11/01

08:30 2007/11/01 FED Cuts 25 bp as largely expected

08:04 2007/11/01 Euro Touches 1.45 After FOMC

07:42 2007/11/01 AUD Overlay

07:38 2007/11/01 Market Drum Highlights

2007/10/31

08:13 2007/10/31 Greetings From Singapore!

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USD/CHF1.15601.1562
GBP/USD1.99541.9956
USD/JPY113.4100113.4300
EUR/USD1.43521.4354
AUD/USD0.85770.8581
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EUR/CHF1.65951.6599
EUR/JPY162.7900162.8300
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GBP/CHF2.30702.3080
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