Treasury Market Preview
10:55 2007/11/08

  • *** ECONOMIC SCHEDULE ***
  • UK BOE to announces interest rate decision: Expected to keep rates on hold at 5.75% [7:00 et]
  • EU ECB to announce interest rate decision: Expected to keep rates on hold at 4.00% [7:45 et]
  • US Initial Jobless Claims: 325Ke || 327K prior [8:30 et]
  • US Continuing Claims: 250Ke || 2588K prior [8:30 et]
  • US Treasury to hold 30-year bond auction [13:00 et]
  • *** ASIAN NEWS OVERNIGHT ***
  • JP Sep Machine Orders: M/M ??“7.6% v ??“1.5%e || Y/Y ??“7.0% v ??“0.9%e
  • JP Net Stocks Investment: ??202.2B v ??45.6B prior || Prior revised from ??45.6B to ??43.4B
  • JP Net Bonds Investment: ??288.0B v ??740.3B prior || Prior revised from ??740.3B to ??739.3B
  • JP Oct Money Supply M2 +CD: 2.0% v 1.7%e
  • JP Oct Broad Liquidity: 3.6% v 4.1%e
  • JP Oct Bank Lending incl. Trusts: 0.7% v 0.6%e
  • SK South Korean Central Bank keeps rates on hold at 5.00% as expected
  • SK Oct Producer Price Index: 3.4% v 2.1% prior
  • SK Oct Consumer Confidence: 103.3 v 103.2 prior
  • SK Oct Consumer Confidence sa: 106.1 v 104.8 prior
  • AU Oct Employment Change: 12.9K v 20.0Ke
  • AU Oct Unemployment Rate: 4.3% v 4.2%e
  • AU Oct Participation Rate: 65.0% v 65.0%e
  • NZ Q3 Unemployment Change: Q/Q ??“0.3% v 0.4%e || Prior revised from 0.7% to 0.6% |||| Y/Y 1.5% v 2.3%e
  • NZ Q3 Unemployment Rate: 3.5% v 3.6%
  • IMF Official: South Korean GDP seen growing at 4.6% in 2008
  • HKMA may consider more frequent money market intervention
  • JP sells ??1.82T in 5-year bonds with an average yield of 1.078% and a bid-to-cover of 2.52x. The bid-to-cover on the previous auction was 3.26x.
  • PBOC Official: PBOC sees 2007 GDP above 11% and CPI around 4.5%
  • PBOC Official: Will enhance Yuan flexibility
  • PBOC Official: To use price tools to stabilize inflationary pressures
  • PBOC Official: Expresses concern over a possible fallout from the US sub-prime situation
  • PBOC Official: Oil prices may continue to rise
  • *** EUROPEAN NEWS OVERNIGHT ***
  • SZ Oct Unemployment Rate: 2.6% v 2.5%e
  • SZ Oct Unemployment Rate sa: 2.6% v 2.6%e || Prior revised from 2.6% to 2.7%
  • GE Sep Trade Balance ?‚¬18.1B v ?‚¬16.0Be
  • GE Sep Current Account: ?‚¬15.4B v ?‚¬12.1Be || Prior revised from ?‚¬9.1B to ?‚¬8.8B
  • GE Sep Imports: -2.6% v ??“0.8%e || Prior revised from 5.6% to 4.5%
  • GE Sep Exports: 0.7% v 0.4%e || Prior revised from 3.0% to 2.4%
  • UK HBOS House Prices: M/M ??“0.5% v 0.5%e || Y/Y 8.9% v 9.4%e
  • SW Sep Industrial Production: M/M ??“0.6% v 0.5%e || Prior revised from ??“0.7% to ??“0.5% |||| Y/Y 1.1% v 2.9%e || Prior revised from 2.4% to 2.8%
  • SW Sep Industrial Orders: M/M 5.8% v ??“3.5% prior || Prior revised from ??“3.5% to ??“3.1% |||| Y/Y 1.7% v 2.6%e || Prior revised from 2.6% to 2.4%
  • SW Sep Activity Index Level: 121.4 v 121.1 prior
  • GE Has no plans to push G-7 on the Euro [wires citing sources]
  • GE German government will not pressure hte ECB about Euro FX
  • GE ECB's independence is highly valued [wires citing sources]
  • GE There are some concerns arond the economic impact of the strong Euro [wires citing sources]
  • GE Surprised on how well the firms are coping with the strong Euro [wires citing sources]
  • GE Japanese and Chinese FX continue to be a source of concern [wires citing sources]

By: John J. Phillips IV


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